About This Market
SharePrediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies leading up to the general election, as candidates vie for the nomination and voter support.
Gavin Newsom leads the “2028 Democratic Presidential ticket” event at 19.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (11.8%), and Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff (8.0%). A 25.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
