Live prediction market odds for Florida Republican Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
2026-08-18
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the race for the Florida Republican Governor nominee ahead of the 2026 elections. This event is crucial as it will shape the party's strategy and influence voter turnout in a key battleground state.
Byron Donalds leads the “Florida Republican Governor nominee” event at 86.2% implied probability, followed by James Fishback at 9.0%. A 6.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Prediction Market Track Record
Odds are influenced by polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign fundraising efforts. Additionally, voter sentiment and national political trends play a significant role.
The nominee will represent the party in the general election, affecting campaign strategies and voter engagement. A strong candidate can energize the base and attract undecided voters.
The nominee will be determined during the primary elections, which are scheduled for August 2026. This timeline allows candidates to campaign and build support leading up to the primaries.
Florida Republican Governor nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Byron Donalds leads at 86% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include James Fishback at 9%.
Byron Donalds currently leads at 86% implied probability. Behind Byron Donalds, James Fishback at 9% are the next closest contenders. The 6.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Byron Donalds wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Florida Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Byron Donalds
86.2% avg
