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Live prediction market odds for Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?

2026-05-19

About This Market

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Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the race for the Georgia Democratic Governor nominee ahead of the 2026 elections. This contest is crucial as it will determine the party's candidate to challenge the incumbent, impacting the political landscape in Georgia.

Keisha Lance Bottoms leads the “Georgia Democratic Governor nominee” event at 78.0% implied probability, followed by Geoff Duncan at 4.3%. A 6.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

3 platforms
KL
Keisha Lance Bottoms
78% Avg
Kalshi78¢
Polymarket79¢
PredictIt89¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
77.5%77¢78¢22¢23¢
PolymarketPolymarket
78.5%78¢79¢21¢22¢
PredictItPredictIt
77.5%66¢89¢11¢34¢
GD
Geoff DuncanARB
4% Avg
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket2¢
PredictIt8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
3.5%3¢4¢96¢97¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PredictItPredictIt
7.0%6¢8¢92¢94¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Keisha Lance Bottoms

Keisha Lance Bottoms is a Democratic politician and attorney, currently running for Governor of Georgia in the 2026 election. She served as the 60th Mayor of Atlanta from 2018 to 2022, leading the city through significant challenges. Her extensive public service experience and leadership in Atlanta make her a prominent candidate in Georgia's gubernatorial race.

About Geoff Duncan

Geoff Duncan is a Democratic candidate for Georgia governor in the 2026 election. He served as Georgia's lieutenant governor from 2019 to 2023 as a Republican. Duncan is relevant to this prediction market due to his recent party switch and gubernatorial campaign announcement.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?

Polling data, endorsements, and candidate fundraising efforts significantly impact the odds. Additionally, public sentiment and key issues in Georgia can sway voter preferences.

When will the Georgia Democratic Governor nominee be determined?

The nominee will be decided in the primary elections scheduled for May 19, 2026. This date is critical for candidates to secure their position ahead of the general election.

How does the Georgia Democratic Governor nominee affect the general election?

The chosen nominee will represent the Democratic Party against the Republican incumbent in the general election. Their ability to mobilize voters and address key issues will be pivotal for the party's chances.

What is "Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?" and why does it matter?

Georgia Democratic Governor nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Keisha Lance Bottoms leads at 78% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Geoff Duncan at 4%.

What is moving the odds on "Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?"?

Keisha Lance Bottoms currently leads at 78% implied probability. Behind Keisha Lance Bottoms, Geoff Duncan at 4% are the next closest contenders. The 6.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Republican Party
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread6.3%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Keisha Lance Bottoms

78.0% avg

Market Rulebook: Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Geoff Duncan wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Georgia Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Republican Party
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