Live prediction market odds for Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
Resolved 2026-05-19
This market resolved on 2026-05-19. Keisha Lance Bottoms was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Prediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Georgia Democratic Governor nominee for the upcoming 2026 election. This race is crucial as it will determine the Democratic candidate's chances against the incumbent and influence party dynamics in Georgia.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Keisha Lance BottomsWINNER | 100% | — | 99% |
Jason Esteves | 0% | 90% | — |
Geoff Duncan | 0% |
Prediction Market Track Record
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts significantly impact the odds. Additionally, public sentiment and key issues in the state can sway predictions.
The primary election is scheduled for May 19, 2026. This date is critical as it determines which candidate will represent the Democratic Party in the general election.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on the likelihood of specific outcomes. Prices reflect collective beliefs about the probability of candidates winning the nomination.
Georgia Democratic Governor nominee was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Keisha Lance Bottoms led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Jason Esteves at 45%, Geoff Duncan at 1%.
Keisha Lance Bottoms held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Keisha Lance Bottoms, Jason Esteves at 45% and Geoff Duncan at 1% were the next closest contenders. The 89.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Keisha Lance Bottoms
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Geoff Duncan wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Georgia Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
| 2% |
Prediction Market Track Record
