Live prediction market odds for Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-30
Market Summary
Current prediction market odds for the Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner show TISZA as the favorite with a 58.8% implied probability. DK follows at 0.1%. With a 5.5% spread across platforms, an active arbitrage opportunity is currently available for traders.
Market Narrative // Why the odds are moving
Hungary's Foreign Minister publicly stated it will block the EU’s 20th sanctions package against Russia and related aid to Ukraine until Russian oil shipments are restored, a decisive political development that strengthens the government’s leverage and could affect its electoral support.. Meanwhile, AP News reports: hungary officially announced it will block a 90-billion-euro eu loan to ukraine unless russian oil shipments through the druzhba pipeline resume, signaling a firm stance that could impact hungary's political positioning and voter sentiment ahead of the parliamentary election..
Additional coverage from Euronews suggests continued market attention. The 5.5% spread across platforms indicates divergent interpretations of these developments.
Sources: AP News / AP News / Euronews
Resolution
This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
TISZA
58.8% avg
