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Live prediction market odds for Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?

2026-09-01

About This Market

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Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee for the upcoming 2026 election. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in the Senate and reflect voter sentiment in the state leading up to the election.

Ed Markey leads the “Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee” event at 83.2% implied probability. Other contenders include Seth Moulton (16.2%). A 14.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Live Markets

3 platforms
EM
Ed MarkeyARB
82% Avg
Kalshi85¢
Polymarket87¢
PredictIt78¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
84.0%83¢85¢15¢17¢
PolymarketPolymarket
86.0%85¢87¢13¢15¢
PredictItPredictIt
77.0%76¢78¢22¢24¢
EM
Ed MarkeyARB
82% Avg
Kalshi85¢
Polymarket87¢
PredictIt78¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
84.0%83¢85¢15¢17¢
PolymarketPolymarket
86.0%85¢87¢13¢15¢
PredictItPredictIt
77.0%76¢78¢22¢24¢
SM
Seth MoultonARB
16% Avg
Kalshi16¢
Polymarket10¢
PredictIt24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
15.0%14¢16¢84¢86¢
PolymarketPolymarket
9.0%8¢10¢90¢92¢
PredictItPredictIt
23.0%22¢24¢76¢78¢
SM
Seth MoultonARB
16% Avg
Kalshi16¢
Polymarket10¢
PredictIt24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
15.0%14¢16¢84¢86¢
PolymarketPolymarket
9.0%8¢10¢90¢92¢
PredictItPredictIt
23.0%22¢24¢76¢78¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign events significantly impact the odds. Additionally, shifts in public opinion and national political trends can alter market perceptions.

When is the election for the Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?

The election for the Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee is scheduled for September 1, 2026. This timeline allows candidates ample opportunity to campaign and engage with voters.

How do prediction markets work for political events like this?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning the nomination.

What is "Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?" and why does it matter?

Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Ed Markey leads at 83% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Ed Markey at 83%, Seth Moulton at 16%, Seth Moulton at 16%.

What is moving the odds on "Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?"?

Ed Markey currently leads at 83% implied probability. Behind Ed Markey, Ed Markey at 83% and Seth Moulton at 16% and Seth Moulton at 16% are the next closest contenders. The 14.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread14.0%
Platforms3
Candidates4
Volume$41K
Leader

Ed Markey

83.2% avg

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?