Prediction Hunt logoPrediction Hunt
MarketsArbitrageSmart MoneyTrendingPaper TradingAPIPricing
Live
Prediction Hunt

Compare prediction market odds across every platform. Find the best prices and track smart money.

Markets

  • Elections
  • Sports
  • Crypto
  • Entertainment
  • US Presidential Election Hub
  • Archive

Tools

  • Trending
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Calculators
  • News
  • Blog

Community

  • Discord
  • Twitter / X
  • Tools
  • About
  • Affiliate Program
  • API Terms of Service

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

MarketsArbWhalesTrending

Live prediction market odds for Michigan Republican Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.

Discord
Follow on X

Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

2026-08-04

About This Market

Share

Prediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Michigan Republican Governor nominee for the upcoming election. The outcome will influence party dynamics and campaign strategies as candidates vie for the nomination ahead of the general election in 2026.

Perry Johnson leads the “Michigan Republican Governor nominee” event at 51.3% implied probability, followed by John James at 24.5%. A 10.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
PJ
Perry Johnson
51% Avg
Kalshi57¢
Polymarket53¢
PredictIt63¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
54.5%52¢57¢43¢48¢
PolymarketPolymarket
45.5%38¢53¢47¢62¢
PredictItPredictIt
53.5%44¢63¢37¢56¢
JJ
John James
23% Avg
Kalshi22¢
Polymarket24¢
PredictIt40¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
20.5%19¢22¢78¢81¢
PolymarketPolymarket
22.0%20¢24¢76¢80¢
PredictItPredictIt
25.0%10¢40¢60¢90¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Perry Johnson

Perry Johnson is a businessman and Republican candidate for Michigan governor in 2026. He previously ran for governor in 2022 but was disqualified due to insufficient valid petition signatures. His candidacy is relevant to this prediction market as he is a declared contender in the upcoming gubernatorial election.

Prediction Market Track Record

Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan in 2026?LOSTPre-event: 60%

About John James

John James is the U.S. Representative for Michigan's 10th congressional district, serving since 2023. He previously ran for U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020. He is currently a candidate for the Michigan Republican gubernatorial nomination in the 2026 election.

Prediction Market Track Record

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign fundraising efforts play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, public sentiment and key issues in Michigan can sway voter preferences.

How do prediction markets work for political nominations?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events, such as political nominations. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.

Why is the Michigan Republican Governor nominee important?

The nominee will represent the Republican Party in a key gubernatorial race, impacting state policies and governance. The outcome could also influence national political trends and the party's strategy in future elections.

What is "Michigan Republican Governor nominee?" and why does it matter?

Michigan Republican Governor nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Perry Johnson leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include John James at 25%.

What is moving the odds on "Michigan Republican Governor nominee?"?

Perry Johnson currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Perry Johnson, John James at 25% are the next closest contenders. The 10.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Automate This Market

Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Michigan Republican Governor nominee?” event. All for free.

As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et

Used by builders and traders in our 2.5K+ Discord community

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Republican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread10.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2

Market Rulebook: Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If John James wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Michigan Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Republican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

LOSTJohn James
Pre-event: 18%
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?
Republican nominee for Governor in Michigan in 2026?
LOSTPre-event: 18%
Leader

Perry Johnson

51.3% avg