About This Market
ShareCal Raleigh is priced at 25.5% implied probability for the “Pro Baseball Runs Leader” event. A 43.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Live prediction market odds for Pro Baseball Runs Leader. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
Pro Baseball Runs Leader
2026-09-28
Price History
Multi-Platform ProbabilitiesNo price history available
Live Markets
2 platforms
Frequently Asked Questions
What is "Pro Baseball Runs Leader" and why does it matter?
Pro Baseball Runs Leader is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cal Raleigh leads at 26% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
What is moving the odds on "Pro Baseball Runs Leader"?
Cal Raleigh currently leads at 26% implied probability. The 43.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
What are the current odds for "Pro Baseball Runs Leader" across platforms?
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cal Raleigh: 4¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 43.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
What does it mean that Cal Raleigh is at 26%?
A price of 26¢ means the market estimates a 26% probability that Cal Raleigh will be the outcome. Buying one share at 26¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 285% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.