Question 1

What factors influence the odds for the Pro Baseball Runs Leader?

Accepted Answer

Player statistics, injuries, and team performance significantly impact the odds. Additionally, historical data and current season trends are considered by bettors.

Question 2

How does the Pro Baseball Runs Leader affect team strategies?

Accepted Answer

Teams may adjust their lineups and batting orders based on who is leading in runs. This can also affect trade decisions and player development strategies.

Question 3

When does the market for the Pro Baseball Runs Leader close?

Accepted Answer

The market will close at the end of the regular baseball season on September 28, 2026. Bettors will need to place their wagers before this date to participate.

Question 4

What is "Pro Baseball Runs Leader" and why does it matter?

Accepted Answer

Pro Baseball Runs Leader is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Corbin Carroll leads at 48% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Yordan Alvarez at 52%, Juan Soto at 51%, Kyle Schwarber at 51%.

Question 5

What is moving the odds on "Pro Baseball Runs Leader"?

Accepted Answer

Corbin Carroll currently leads at 48% implied probability. Behind Corbin Carroll, Yordan Alvarez at 52% and Juan Soto at 51% and Kyle Schwarber at 51% are the next closest contenders. The 96.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 6

What are the current odds for "Pro Baseball Runs Leader" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Corbin Carroll: 0¢ on Kalshi, 96¢ on Polymarket. Yordan Alvarez: 5¢ on Kalshi, 98¢ on Polymarket. Juan Soto: 5¢ on Kalshi, 97¢ on Polymarket. Kyle Schwarber: 4¢ on Kalshi, 97¢ on Polymarket. The 96.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 7

What does it mean that Corbin Carroll is at 48%?

Accepted Answer

A price of 48¢ means the market estimates a 48% probability that Corbin Carroll will be the outcome. Buying one share at 48¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 108% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	3.5%	0¢	7¢	93¢	100¢
Polymarket	96.5%	94¢	99¢	1¢	6¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	2.5%	0¢	5¢	95¢	100¢
Polymarket	98.5%	98¢	99¢	1¢	2¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	5.0%	3¢	7¢	93¢	97¢
Polymarket	97.5%	96¢	99¢	1¢	4¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	2.0%	0¢	4¢	96¢	100¢
Polymarket	97.5%	96¢	99¢	1¢	4¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	26.5%	23¢	30¢	70¢	77¢
Polymarket	25.5%	25¢	26¢	74¢	75¢

Pro Baseball Runs Leader

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