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Live prediction market odds for Pro Football #3 overall pick in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi / Polymarket

Pro Football #3 overall pick in 2026?

2026-04-23

About This Market

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Pro Football #3 overall pick in 2026. This event is pivotal as it can influence team strategies and player careers, with scouting reports and college performances playing a crucial role in shaping the odds.

Spencer Fano leads the “Pro Football #3 overall pick in 2026” event at 23.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Caleb Downs (17.6%), Jordyn Tyson (17.6%), Jeremiyah Love (21.1%), and Carnell Tate (17.0%). A 33.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Live Markets

2 platforms
SF
Spencer Fano
24% Avg
Kalshi11¢
Polymarket69¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
10.5%10¢11¢89¢90¢
PolymarketPolymarket
37.0%5¢69¢31¢95¢
CD
Caleb Downs
17% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket67¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
34.0%1¢67¢33¢99¢
JT
Jordyn Tyson
17% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket67¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
34.0%1¢67¢33¢99¢
JL
Jeremiyah Love
21% Avg
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket67¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
8.0%7¢9¢91¢93¢
PolymarketPolymarket
34.0%1¢67¢33¢99¢
CT
Carnell Tate
17% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket66¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
33.5%1¢66¢34¢99¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Spencer Fano

Spencer Fano is a 6'5.5" offensive tackle from the University of Utah, projected as a top pick in the 2026 NFL Draft. He earned unanimous All-American honors and the Outland Trophy in 2025, allowing no sacks and only five pressures across 382 pass-blocking snaps. His exceptional performance and versatility make him a strong candidate for the #3 overall pick.

About Caleb Downs

Caleb Downs is a safety for the Ohio State Buckeyes. He transferred from Alabama in 2024, leading Ohio State to a national championship and earning unanimous All-American honors in 2024 and 2025. His exceptional performance makes him a top candidate for the 2026 NFL Draft's third overall pick.

About Jordyn Tyson

Jordyn Tyson is a wide receiver for the Arizona State Sun Devils. He transferred from Colorado in 2023 and led the team with 75 receptions for 1,101 yards and 10 touchdowns in 2024. Tyson declared for the 2026 NFL Draft on December 19, 2025.

About Jeremiyah Love

Jeremiyah Love is a running back who declared for the 2026 NFL Draft after a standout junior season at Notre Dame. He led the Fighting Irish to a 10-2 record in 2025, rushing for 1,372 yards and 18 touchdowns, and earning the Doak Walker Award. His exceptional performance and versatility make him a top candidate for the #3 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.

About Carnell Tate

Carnell Tate is a wide receiver who declared for the 2026 NFL Draft after a standout season at Ohio State. He recorded 51 receptions for 875 yards and nine touchdowns in 2025. His exceptional performance and early declaration make him a strong candidate for the #3 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.

About Peter Woods

Peter Woods is a defensive tackle who declared for the 2026 NFL Draft in December 2025. He earned first-team All-ACC honors in 2025 after recording 30 tackles and 2 sacks. His strong college performance makes him a top candidate for the #3 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.

About Carson Beck

Carson Beck is a senior quarterback for the Miami Hurricanes. He transferred from the University of Georgia in January 2025 after declaring for the NFL Draft. Beck is relevant to this prediction market as a potential top pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.

About Keldric Faulk

Keldric Faulk is a junior defensive end for the Auburn Tigers. He was named to the 2025 SEC Football Community Service Team for his community involvement. His performance and leadership make him a strong candidate for the 2026 NFL Draft.

About Kayden McDonald

Kayden McDonald is a defensive tackle who declared for the 2026 NFL Draft after a standout career at Ohio State. He was named a unanimous All-American and Big Ten Defensive Lineman of the Year in 2025. His exceptional performance makes him a strong candidate for the #3 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.

About Francis Mauigoa

Francis Mauigoa is a consensus All-American offensive tackle for the Miami Hurricanes. He declared for the 2026 NFL Draft after a standout junior season, earning the ACC's Jacobs Blocking Trophy. His exceptional performance makes him a top candidate for the #3 overall pick in the upcoming draft.

About Rueben Bain Jr

Rueben Bain Jr. is a defensive lineman for the Miami Hurricanes. He was named the 2025 ACC Defensive Player of the Year and won the Ted Hendricks Award as the nation's top defensive end. His exceptional performance in college football has made him a top prospect for the 2026 NFL Draft.

About Arvell Reese

Arvell Reese is a linebacker and edge rusher who declared for the 2026 NFL Draft after a standout junior season at Ohio State. In 2025, he recorded 69 tackles, 6.5 sacks, and 10 tackles for loss, earning Consensus All-American honors and Big Ten Linebacker of the Year. His versatility and athleticism make him a top prospect for the upcoming draft.

About Sonny Styles

Sonny Styles is a linebacker who declared for the 2026 NFL Draft in January 2026. He was a three-year starter and team captain at Ohio State, earning first-team All-American honors in 2025. His exceptional performance and leadership make him a strong candidate for the #3 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.

About Fernando Mendoza

Fernando Mendoza is a quarterback for the Indiana Hoosiers. He transferred from California in 2025, leading Indiana to its first national championship and winning the Heisman Trophy. His exceptional performance makes him a strong candidate for the 2026 NFL Draft's top pick.

About Ty Simpson

Ty Simpson is a quarterback for the Alabama Crimson Tide. He was named the starting quarterback for the 2025 season, leading Alabama to an 11–4 record and a College Football Playoff appearance. His performance in 2025 has made him a top candidate for the 2026 NFL Draft.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the #3 overall pick?

Player performances in college football, team needs, and draft strategies are key factors. Additionally, injuries and off-field issues can impact a player's draft stock.

How do prediction markets work for sports events?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their predictions of outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and expectations of the market participants.

When is the NFL Draft scheduled for 2026?

The NFL Draft is set to take place from April 20 to April 22, 2026. The timing is crucial as teams finalize their strategies leading up to the event.

What is "Pro Football #3 overall pick in 2026?" and why does it matter?

Pro Football #3 overall pick in 2026 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Spencer Fano leads at 24% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Caleb Downs at 18%, Jordyn Tyson at 18%, Jeremiyah Love at 21%.

What is moving the odds on "Pro Football #3 overall pick in 2026?"?

Spencer Fano currently leads at 24% implied probability. Behind Spencer Fano, Caleb Downs at 18% and Jordyn Tyson at 18% and Jeremiyah Love at 21% are the next closest contenders. The 33.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
NFL
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread33.3%
Platforms2
Candidates17
Leader

Spencer Fano

23.8% avg

Market Rulebook: Pro Football #3 overall pick in 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Fernando Mendoza is selected as the third overall pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
NFL
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?