Live prediction market odds for UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-12
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, a highly anticipated rematch in the MMA world. This fight could have major implications for both fighters' legacies and future title opportunities, drawing significant attention from fans and analysts alike.
Max Holloway leads the “UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2” event at 71.5% implied probability, followed by Conor McGregor at 28.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Prediction Market Track Record
The rematch is crucial as both fighters are former champions seeking to reclaim their status. A win could position them for future title shots and enhance their legacies in the sport.
Prediction markets analyze various factors such as fighter performance history, training camps, and public sentiment to gauge likely outcomes. Odds can fluctuate based on new information leading up to the fight.
Betting odds are influenced by fighter statistics, recent performances, injuries, and public betting trends. Additionally, expert analyses and media coverage can sway market perceptions leading up to the fight.
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Max Holloway leads at 72% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Conor McGregor at 29%.
Max Holloway currently leads at 72% implied probability. Behind Max Holloway, Conor McGregor at 29% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Max Holloway
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Max Holloway wins the Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jul 11, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
Polymarket71.5% avg
