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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 76.5% // +$7650.00

Live prediction market odds for What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

2026-12-31

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the announcement of a new device by Jony Ive and OpenAI, set for December 31, 2026. This event is pivotal as it could redefine technology trends and consumer expectations in the evolving landscape of AI-integrated devices.

Clip-on device for clothing leads the “What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce” event at 55.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Earbuds/Headphones (55.3%), Head-mounted display (52.0%), Necklace (50.3%), and Glasses (23.5%). A 76.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
CD
Clip-on device for clothingARB
56% Avg
Kalshi29¢
Polymarket91¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
27.0%25¢29¢71¢75¢
PolymarketPolymarket
84.0%77¢91¢9¢23¢
E
Earbuds/HeadphonesARB
55% Avg
Kalshi38¢
Polymarket80¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
36.0%34¢38¢62¢66¢
PolymarketPolymarket
74.5%69¢80¢20¢31¢
HD
Head-mounted displayARB
50% Avg
Kalshi15¢
Polymarket90¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
11.5%8¢15¢85¢92¢
PolymarketPolymarket
89.0%88¢90¢10¢12¢
N
NecklaceARB
49% Avg
Kalshi12¢
Polymarket89¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
8.5%5¢12¢88¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
88.5%88¢89¢11¢12¢
G
GlassesARB
22% Avg
Kalshi22¢
Polymarket27¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
18.0%14¢22¢78¢86¢
PolymarketPolymarket
25.0%23¢27¢73¢77¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Clip-on device for clothing

Jony Ive is the Chief Design Officer at LoveFrom, a design firm he founded. He previously served as Apple's Chief Design Officer, leading the design of iconic products like the iPhone. He is collaborating with OpenAI to develop a new AI-powered hardware device, with a planned release in 2027.

About Head-mounted display

Jony Ive is the Chief Design Officer at OpenAI, leading the design of AI-powered consumer devices. He co-founded io Products, which was acquired by OpenAI in 2025. He is relevant to this prediction market due to his role in designing upcoming AI hardware products with OpenAI.

About Necklace

Jony Ive is the Chief Design Officer at OpenAI, leading design and creative responsibilities across the organization. Previously, he was the Chief Design Officer at Apple, where he played a pivotal role in designing iconic products like the iPhone and iPad. His expertise in product design and innovation is central to OpenAI's development of new AI-powered devices.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of Jony Ive's involvement in this announcement?

Jony Ive is renowned for his design leadership at Apple, influencing major product innovations. His collaboration with OpenAI suggests a focus on integrating advanced AI capabilities into consumer devices.

How might this announcement impact the tech industry?

The device could set new standards for design and functionality, impacting competitors and market trends. Anticipation around the announcement may drive investment and interest in AI technology.

What factors could influence the prediction market odds for this event?

Market odds may fluctuate based on leaks, speculation about the device's features, and consumer interest. Additionally, reactions from industry experts and initial user feedback will play a crucial role.

What is "What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?" and why does it matter?

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Clip-on device for clothing leads at 56% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Earbuds/Headphones at 55%, Head-mounted display at 52%, Necklace at 50%.

What is moving the odds on "What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?"?

Clip-on device for clothing currently leads at 56% implied probability. Behind Clip-on device for clothing, Earbuds/Headphones at 55% and Head-mounted display at 52% and Necklace at 50% are the next closest contenders. The 76.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
ReutersSam Altmanthe Associated PressThe New York TimesThe Wall Street Journal
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats

Market Rulebook: What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Phone before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

If a device fulfills multiple device categories (e.g. , combined headphones and earbuds) then all relevant categories will resolve to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
ReutersSam Altmanthe Associated PressThe New York TimesThe Wall Street Journal
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle

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Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

About Ring

Jony Ive is the Chief Design Officer at LoveFrom, his independent design firm. He previously served as Apple's Chief Design Officer, leading the design of iconic products like the iPhone and iMac. He is collaborating with OpenAI to develop a new AI hardware device, marking a significant expansion into consumer technology.

Prediction Market Track Record

2025 NYC Mayoral ElectionLOSTPre-event: 50%2026 Oscars Best PictureLOSTPre-event: 50%Game of the Year 2025?LOSTPre-event: 50%Who will be the Democratic nominee for VA-02 in 2026?LOSTPre-event: 4%Who will be the Democratic nominee for NY-12?WONPre-event: 0%

About Watch

Jony Ive is the Chief Design Officer at LoveFrom, his independent design firm. He previously served as Chief Design Officer at Apple, leading the design of iconic products like the iPhone. His expertise in product design is pivotal for OpenAI's venture into AI hardware.

About Computer (Laptop/Desktop)

Jony Ive is the Chief Design Officer at OpenAI, leading the design of AI-powered consumer devices. He was previously the Chief Design Officer at Apple, where he played a pivotal role in designing iconic products like the iPhone and iPad. His expertise in product design is central to OpenAI's efforts in developing innovative AI hardware.
Spread76.5%
Platforms2
Candidates11
Leader

Clip-on device for clothing

55.5% avg