Live prediction market odds for 2026 Texas Republican Senate Nomination. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
2026-11-03
Market Summary
Current prediction market odds for the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Nomination show John Cornyn as the favorite with a 84.8% implied probability. Ken Paxton follows at 15.8%. With a 2.5% spread across platforms, an active arbitrage opportunity is currently available for traders.
Market Narrative // Why the odds are moving
John Cornyn's odds rise 27 points to 47% after runoff announcement; Ken Paxton trails at 33%.. Meanwhile, CBS News reports: senator john cornyn faces strong challenges from ken paxton and wesley hunt in the gop senate primary, with cornyn warning that paxton as nominee could risk the seat and paxton suggesting cornyn may finish third, highlighting high uncertainty that could impact the republican nomination outcome..
Sources: Prediction Hunt / CBS News
Resolution
This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
John Cornyn
84.8% avg
