Live prediction market odds for Who will Donald Trump talk to in Apr 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-30
This market resolved on 2026-04-30. Keir Starmer was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking who Donald Trump will engage with in April 2026. The outcome could influence international relations and domestic political dynamics, depending on the figures involved in the discussions.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Keir StarmerWINNER | 100% | 100% |
Mark Carney | 99% | 100% |
Xi Jinping | 1% | 17% |
Factors include current geopolitical tensions, diplomatic relationships, and Trump's political strategy as he navigates his post-presidency role.
Odds are shaped by market participants' insights, news developments, and public sentiment regarding Trump's potential interactions with various figures.
This period may coincide with key global events or elections, making Trump's conversations particularly impactful on international and domestic fronts.
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Apr 2026 was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Keir Starmer led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Mark Carney at 100%, Xi Jinping at 9%.
Keir Starmer held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Keir Starmer, Mark Carney at 100% and Xi Jinping at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 15.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Keir Starmer
99.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet (including phone calls) before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
A meeting is defined as any of the following: An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive): Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented Home visits or meetings at non-official locations The following do NOT qualify as meetings: Being present at the same event without direct interaction Exchanging written correspondence Communication through intermediaries without direct contact Pre-recorded messages or asynchronous communication Meetings cancelled after being scheduled Near-misses where parties were scheduled to meet but did not
