Live prediction market odds for 2028 US Presidential General Election. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
2028-11-05
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the 2028 US Presidential General Election. This election will determine the next president, influencing domestic and foreign policies for years to come.
Ron DeSantis leads the “2028 US Presidential General Election” event at 50.6% implied probability. Other contenders include Andy Beshear (50.4%), JB Pritzker (50.2%), JD Vance (40.9%), and Marco Rubio (40.3%). A 99.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Prediction Market Track Record
The 2028 election will shape the political landscape of the United States for the following four years. Key issues such as healthcare, climate change, and economic policy will be at the forefront.
Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of traders to forecast the likelihood of various outcomes. As new information emerges, such as candidate announcements and polling data, the odds can fluctuate significantly.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign strategies, voter turnout, and current events impacting public opinion. Economic conditions and major political developments can also sway market predictions.
2028 US Presidential General Election is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Ron DeSantis leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Andy Beshear at 50%, JB Pritzker at 50%, JD Vance at 41%.
Ron DeSantis currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Ron DeSantis, Andy Beshear at 50% and JB Pritzker at 50% and JD Vance at 41% are the next closest contenders. The 99.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket.
KalshiIf J.D. Vance is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
OpinionThe 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
PolymarketThe 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Ron DeSantis
50.6% avg
Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
