Live prediction market odds for Masters Tournament Winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-13
This market resolved on 2026-04-13. Rory McIlroy was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the Masters Tournament, set to conclude on April 13, 2026. This prestigious golf event draws global attention, with players vying for a coveted green jacket and significant prize money, influencing betting dynamics.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Rory McIlroyWINNER | 100% | 100% |
Aaron Rai | 0% | 50% |
Adam Scott | 0% | 50% |
Akshay Bhatia |
Player performance in previous tournaments, current form, and course conditions are key factors. Additionally, historical performance at Augusta National can impact betting sentiment.
As one of the four major championships, the Masters sets the tone for the golf season. Winning can elevate a player's career and influence their future endorsements.
The green jacket is awarded to the Masters Tournament winner, symbolizing their victory and membership in an exclusive club of champions. It is a prestigious honor in the sport of golf.
Masters Tournament Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Rory McIlroy led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Aaron Rai at 25%, Adam Scott at 25%, Akshay Bhatia at 25%.
Rory McIlroy held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Rory McIlroy, Aaron Rai at 25% and Adam Scott at 25% and Akshay Bhatia at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 49.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf Xander Schauffele wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Predict.fun{'description': 'This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.\n\nIf this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.\n\nIf no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".\n\nThe primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.'}
| 50% |
Brian Harman | 0% | 50% |
Brooks Koepka | 0% | 50% |
Bryson Dechambeau | 0% | 50% |
Bubba Watson | 0% | 50% |
Cameron Smith | 0% | 50% |
Cameron Young | 0% | 50% |
Charl Schwartzel | 0% | 50% |
Collin Morikawa | 0% | 50% |
Corey Conners | 0% | 50% |
Danny Willett | 0% | 50% |
Dustin Johnson | 0% | 50% |
Fred Couples | 0% | 50% |
Hideki Matsuyama | 0% | 50% |
Jason Day | 0% | 50% |
Joaquin Niemann | 0% | 50% |
Jon Rahm | 0% | 50% |
Jordan Spieth | 0% | 50% |
Justin Rose | 0% | 50% |
Justin Thomas | 0% | 50% |
Keegan Bradley | 0% | 50% |
Ludvig Aberg | 0% | 50% |
Matt Fitzpatrick | 0% | 50% |
Maverick McNealy | 0% | 50% |
Max Homa | 0% | 50% |
Min Woo Lee | 0% | 50% |
Patrick Cantlay | 0% | 50% |
Patrick Reed | 0% | 50% |
Phil Mickelson | 0% | 50% |
Rasmus Hojgaard | 0% | 50% |
Robert MacIntyre | 0% | 50% |
Russell Henley | 0% | 50% |
Sahith Theegala | 0% | 50% |
Sam Burns | 0% | 50% |
Scottie Scheffler | 0% | 50% |
Sepp Straka | 0% | 50% |
Sergio Garcia | 0% | 50% |
Shane Lowry | 0% | 50% |
Sungjae Im | 0% | 50% |
Tiger Woods | 0% | 50% |
Tom Kim | 0% | 50% |
Tommy Fleetwood | 0% | 50% |
Tony Finau | 0% | 50% |
Tyrrell Hatton | 0% | 50% |
Viktor Hovland | 0% | 50% |
Will Zalatoris | 0% | 50% |
Wyndham Clark | 0% | 50% |
Xander Schauffele | 0% | 50% |
Zach Johnson | 0% | 50% |
Prediction Market Track Record
Prediction Market Track Record
Prediction Market Track Record
Rory McIlroy
100.0% avg
