Live prediction market odds for NBA Points Per Game Leader. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-12
This market resolved on 2026-04-12. Luka Doncic was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the NBA Points Per Game Leader for the 2025-2026 season. Performance trends, injuries, and team dynamics will heavily influence the odds as the season progresses.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Luka DoncicWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Anthony Edwards | 1% | 50% |
Cade Cunningham | 1% | 50% |
Donovan Mitchell |
Player performance, injury status, and team offensive strategies are key factors. Additionally, historical scoring trends and matchups can impact the predictions.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of each player leading in points per game.
The NBA season usually begins in mid-October and concludes in mid-April. The playoffs follow, lasting until mid-June, which can also affect player performance and scoring averages.
NBA Points Per Game Leader was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Luka Doncic led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Anthony Edwards at 26%, Cade Cunningham at 25%, Donovan Mitchell at 25%.
Luka Doncic held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Luka Doncic, Anthony Edwards at 26% and Cade Cunningham at 25% and Donovan Mitchell at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 49.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jalen Brunson leads Pro Basketball in Points Per Game for the 2025-26 Regular Season, then the market resolves to Yes.
The participant must have the highest total of the specified statistic across the entire season type as documented by the official league statistics. Only statistics from games officially designated as part of the specified season type are included. Preseason, postseason, playoff, exhibition, friendly, or all-star statistics are excluded unless the season_type specifically includes them. If a participant competes for multiple teams during the season, statistics from all teams are combined. Participants who do not play any games due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons resolve to No. League minimum qualification thresholds apply. In case of exact ties where the league does not declare a single winner, tied participants receive a proportional payout. Statistical corrections are only considered if made before the expiration date.
Polymarket| 1% |
| 50% |
Giannis Antetokounmpo | 1% | 50% |
Jalen Brunson | 1% | 50% |
James Harden | 1% | 50% |
Jaylen Brown | 1% | 50% |
Lauri Markkanen | 1% | 50% |
LeBron James | 1% | 50% |
Nikola Jokic | 1% | 50% |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 1% | 50% |
Stephen Curry | 1% | 50% |
Tyrese Maxey | 1% | 50% |
Luka Doncic
99.5% avg
