Live prediction market odds for NBA Steals Per Game Leader. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-12
This market resolved on 2026-04-12. Ausar Thompson was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the NBA Steals Per Game Leader for the 2025-2026 season. This event is crucial as it highlights defensive prowess in the league, impacting team strategies and player evaluations.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Ausar ThompsonWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Alex Caruso | 1% | 50% |
Cason Wallace | 1% | 50% |
Dyson Daniels |
Prediction Market Track Record
Player performance, team defensive strategies, and injury reports are key factors. Additionally, historical statistics and matchups against opposing teams can affect predictions.
A strong steals leader can enhance a team's defensive capabilities, leading to more fast-break opportunities. Effective defense is often correlated with overall team success in the playoffs.
The market will close at the end of the regular NBA season on April 12, 2026. This allows for the final assessment of player performances throughout the season.
NBA Steals Per Game Leader was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ausar Thompson led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Alex Caruso at 26%, Cason Wallace at 26%, Dyson Daniels at 26%.
Ausar Thompson held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Ausar Thompson, Alex Caruso at 26% and Cason Wallace at 26% and Dyson Daniels at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alex Caruso leads Pro Basketball in Steals Per Game for the 2025-26 Regular Season, then the market resolves to Yes.
The participant must have the highest total of the specified statistic across the entire season type as documented by the official league statistics. Only statistics from games officially designated as part of the specified season type are included. Preseason, postseason, playoff, exhibition, friendly, or all-star statistics are excluded unless the season_type specifically includes them. If a participant competes for multiple teams during the season, statistics from all teams are combined. Participants who do not play any games due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons resolve to No. League minimum qualification thresholds apply. In case of exact ties where the league does not declare a single winner, tied participants receive a proportional payout. Statistical corrections are only considered if made before the expiration date.
Polymarket| 50% |
Kawhi Leonard | 1% | 50% |
Luka Doncic | 1% | 50% |
Mikal Bridges | 1% | 50% |
OG Anunoby | 1% | 50% |
Tyrese Maxey | 1% | 50% |
Prediction Market Track Record
Ausar Thompson
99.5% avg
