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Live prediction market odds for What will Bernie say during his NYC Rally?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

AI / Artificial Intelligence Wins: What will Bernie say during his NYC Rally?

Resolved 2026-04-12

This market resolved on 2026-04-12. AI / Artificial Intelligence was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.

About This Market

Share

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking what Bernie will say during his NYC Rally on April 12, 2026. This event is crucial as it could influence public opinion and set the tone for upcoming political discussions and campaigns.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
AI / Artificial IntelligenceWINNER
99%100%
Corrupt / Corruption
99%100%
Election
99%100%
Robot / Robotic / Robotics
99%100%
Socialist / Socialism
99%100%
Affordability
1%50%
Bipartisan
1%50%
Climate
1%50%
Iran
1%50%
Israel / Israeli
1%50%
Kathy / Hochul
1%50%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
1%50%
Republican
1%50%
Revolution / Revolutionary
1%50%
Shutdown / Shut Down
1%50%

Candidate Spotlight

About Corrupt / Corruption

Bernie Sanders is the senior United States senator from Vermont, serving since 2007. He chaired the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee from 2023 to 2025. Sanders has a longstanding record of advocating for workers' rights and corporate accountability.

About Election

Bernie Sanders is the senior United States senator from Vermont, serving since 2007. He chaired the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee from 2023 to 2025. As an independent and self-described democratic socialist, Sanders has been a leading figure in progressive politics for over four decades.

Prediction Market Track Record

2025 NYC Mayoral ElectionLOSTPre-event: 1%2025 Bolivian Presidential ElectionLOST

Frequently Asked Questions

What topics are likely to be addressed by Bernie during the rally?

Bernie is expected to cover a range of issues, including healthcare, affordability, and immigration. These topics resonate with his core supporters and could shape his political narrative.

How do prediction markets reflect public sentiment about Bernie's rally?

Prediction markets aggregate bets on specific outcomes, providing insights into what the public anticipates Bernie will discuss. Fluctuations in odds can indicate changing perceptions as the rally date approaches.

What impact could Bernie's statements have on his political future?

Statements made during the rally could bolster or weaken his position in upcoming elections. Public reactions to his comments may influence voter engagement and support.

What was "What will Bernie say during his NYC Rally?" and why did it matter?

What will Bernie say during his NYC Rally was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). AI / Artificial Intelligence led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Corrupt / Corruption at 100%, Election at 100%, Robot / Robotic / Robotics at 100%.

What moved the odds on "What will Bernie say during his NYC Rally?"?

AI / Artificial Intelligence held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind AI / Artificial Intelligence, Corrupt / Corruption at 100% and Election at 100% and Robot / Robotic / Robotics at 100% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread49.0%
Platforms2
Candidates15
Winner

AI / Artificial Intelligence

99.5% avg

Market Rulebook: What will Bernie say during his NYC Rally?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Bernie Sanders says Iran as part of Union Now: Building the Labor Movement with Bernie Sanders and Sara Nelson, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Video of the Union Now: Building the Labor Movement with Bernie Sanders and Sara Nelson will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Union Now: Building the Labor Movement with Bernie Sanders and Sara Nelson will be used. Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details. Event does not qualify: If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. The event will resolve based on Bernie Sanders speaking in an official capacity. If Bernie Sanders is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Postponement: If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

2025 NYC Mayoral Election

Resolved

2025-11-04

LOSTElection
Pre-event: 1%

2025 Bolivian Presidential Election

Resolved

2025-10-20

LOSTElection
Pre-event: 1%

2025 Seattle Mayoral Election

Resolved

2025-11-04

LOSTElection
Pre-event: 22%

2025 Virginia Governor Election

Resolved

2025-11-04

LOSTElection
Pre-event: 50%

2025 New Jersey Governor Election

Resolved

2025-11-04

WONElection
Pre-event: 88%

What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?

Resolved

2026-02-28

WONAffordability
Pre-event: 68%

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

Resolved

2026-02-28

LOSTAffordability
Pre-event: 1%
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?
Pre-event: 1%
2025 Seattle Mayoral ElectionLOSTPre-event: 22%
2025 Virginia Governor ElectionLOSTPre-event: 50%
2025 New Jersey Governor ElectionWONPre-event: 88%

About Affordability

Bernie Sanders is the senior United States senator from Vermont and chair of the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee. He served as the chair of the Senate Budget Committee from 2021 to 2023. Sanders has a longstanding commitment to progressive policies, including advocating for affordable healthcare and workers' rights.

Prediction Market Track Record

What will Trump say during the State of the Union address?WONPre-event: 68%What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?LOSTPre-event: 1%

About Climate

Bernie Sanders is the senior United States senator from Vermont, serving since 2007. He chaired the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee from 2023 to 2025. Sanders is a leading advocate for progressive policies, including universal healthcare and workers' rights.

About Israel / Israeli

Bernie Sanders is the senior United States senator from Vermont, serving his fourth term after re-election in 2024. He previously served as the mayor of Burlington, Vermont, from 1981 to 1989. Sanders is known for his progressive policies and advocacy for economic equality.

About Kathy / Hochul

Kathy Hochul is the current Governor of New York State. She previously served as the state's Lieutenant Governor from 2015 to 2021. As Governor, she has led initiatives to address housing, public safety, and mental health care in New York.

About Revolution / Revolutionary

Bernie Sanders is the senior United States senator from Vermont and chair of the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee. He served as the chair of the Senate Budget Committee from 2021 to 2023. Sanders is a leading advocate for progressive policies, including universal healthcare and workers' rights.

About Shutdown / Shut Down

Bernie Sanders is the senior United States senator from Vermont, serving since 2007. He chaired the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee from 2023 to 2025. As a self-described democratic socialist, Sanders advocates for progressive policies on healthcare, education, and economic inequality.