Live prediction market odds for What will Bernie say during his NYC Rally?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-12
This market resolved on 2026-04-12. AI / Artificial Intelligence was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking what Bernie will say during his NYC Rally on April 12, 2026. This event is crucial as it could influence public opinion and set the tone for upcoming political discussions and campaigns.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
AI / Artificial IntelligenceWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Corrupt / Corruption | 99% | 100% |
Election | 99% | 100% |
Robot / Robotic / Robotics | 99% | 100% |
Socialist / Socialism | 99% | 100% |
Affordability | 1% | 50% |
Bipartisan | 1% | 50% |
Climate | 1% | 50% |
Iran | 1% | 50% |
Israel / Israeli | 1% | 50% |
Kathy / Hochul | 1% | 50% |
Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 1% | 50% |
Republican | 1% | 50% |
Revolution / Revolutionary | 1% | 50% |
Shutdown / Shut Down | 1% | 50% |
Prediction Market Track Record
Bernie is expected to cover a range of issues, including healthcare, affordability, and immigration. These topics resonate with his core supporters and could shape his political narrative.
Prediction markets aggregate bets on specific outcomes, providing insights into what the public anticipates Bernie will discuss. Fluctuations in odds can indicate changing perceptions as the rally date approaches.
Statements made during the rally could bolster or weaken his position in upcoming elections. Public reactions to his comments may influence voter engagement and support.
What will Bernie say during his NYC Rally was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). AI / Artificial Intelligence led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Corrupt / Corruption at 100%, Election at 100%, Robot / Robotic / Robotics at 100%.
AI / Artificial Intelligence held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind AI / Artificial Intelligence, Corrupt / Corruption at 100% and Election at 100% and Robot / Robotic / Robotics at 100% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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AI / Artificial Intelligence
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Bernie Sanders says Iran as part of Union Now: Building the Labor Movement with Bernie Sanders and Sara Nelson, then the market resolves to Yes.
Video of the Union Now: Building the Labor Movement with Bernie Sanders and Sara Nelson will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Union Now: Building the Labor Movement with Bernie Sanders and Sara Nelson will be used. Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details. Event does not qualify: If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. The event will resolve based on Bernie Sanders speaking in an official capacity. If Bernie Sanders is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Postponement: If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
