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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 15.5% // +$1550.00

Live prediction market odds for Kartal vs Rybakina. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Elena Rybakina Wins: Kartal vs Rybakina

Resolved 2026-03-18

This market resolved on 2026-03-18. Elena Rybakina was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.

About This Market

Share

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Kartal and Rybakina held on March 18, 2026. This event is pivotal as it could impact rankings and future tournament seedings, influencing players' careers and fan engagement.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Elena RybakinaWINNER
99%84%
Sonay Kartal
1%17%

Candidate Spotlight

About Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina is a professional tennis player from Kazakhstan, currently ranked No. 2 in the WTA singles rankings as of March 16, 2026. She won her first Grand Slam title at Wimbledon in 2022 and secured her second at the Australian Open in 2026 by defeating Aryna Sabalenka. Rybakina's recent performances, including a victory at the 2026 Australian Open, make her a strong contender in the upcoming match against Sonay Kartal.

Prediction Market Track Record

2026 Women’s Australian Open WinnerWONPre-event: 15%Indian Wells Women's Singles WinnerLOSTPre-event: 15%Jessica Pegula vs. Elena RybakinaWONPre-event: 0%

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Kartal vs Rybakina match?

Odds are influenced by player performance history, recent match outcomes, and head-to-head statistics. Injuries or changes in player form can also significantly impact market perceptions.

How do prediction markets determine the likely winner of the match?

Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants who buy and sell shares based on their expectations of the outcome. The resulting prices reflect the collective sentiment and perceived probabilities of each player's success.

What is at stake in the Kartal vs Rybakina match?

The match could affect both players' rankings and their chances in upcoming tournaments. Winning could lead to better seedings and increased visibility in the professional circuit.

What was "Kartal vs Rybakina" and why did it matter?

Kartal vs Rybakina was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elena Rybakina led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sonay Kartal at 9%.

What moved the odds on "Kartal vs Rybakina"?

Elena Rybakina held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Elena Rybakina, Sonay Kartal at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 15.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
ESPNFox SportsThe Wall Street Journal
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread15.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Elena Rybakina

91.3% avg

Market Rulebook: Kartal vs Rybakina

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Sonay Kartal wins the Kartal vs Rybakina professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Indian Wells Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Kartal vs Rybakina professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Indian Wells Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
ESPNFox SportsThe Wall Street Journal

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

2026 Women’s Australian Open Winner

Resolved

2026-01-31

WONElena Rybakina
Pre-event: 15%

Indian Wells Women's Singles Winner

Resolved

2026-03-15

LOSTElena Rybakina
Pre-event: 15%

Jessica Pegula vs. Elena Rybakina

Resolved

2026-03-25

WONElena Rybakina
Pre-event: 0%

Jessica Pegula vs. Elena Rybakina

Resolved

2026-03-26

WONElena Rybakina
Pre-event: 68%

Elena Rybakina vs. Aryna Sabalenka

Resolved

2026-03-26

WONElena Rybakina
Pre-event: 0%
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?
Jessica Pegula vs. Elena RybakinaWONPre-event: 68%
Elena Rybakina vs. Aryna SabalenkaWONPre-event: 0%

About Sonay Kartal

Sonay Kartal is a British professional tennis player currently ranked No. 50 in singles as of February 9, 2026. She achieved her career-high singles ranking of No. 44 on July 14, 2025, and won her first WTA Tour title at the Jasmin Open in Tunisia on September 15, 2024. Kartal's recent performances, including a notable run to the fourth round at the 2026 Indian Wells tournament, highlight her rising prominence in the sport.
No price history available