Live prediction market odds for Netflix MMA Special: Diaz vs Perry. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-17
This market resolved on 2026-05-17. Perry was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 80%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Netflix MMA Special featuring Diaz vs Perry held on May 17, 2026. This matchup is significant as it draws attention to the growing popularity of MMA events on streaming platforms and could influence future sports broadcasting deals.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
PerryWINNER | 99% | 61% |
Diaz | 1% | 39% |
The matchup showcases two popular fighters, potentially attracting a large audience. It also reflects the increasing integration of MMA events into mainstream entertainment.
Prediction markets provide real-time odds based on collective opinions about the outcome. They can reflect public sentiment and expert analysis, influencing betting behavior.
Factors include fighter performance history, training camp updates, and public interest levels. Additionally, promotional activities and media coverage leading up to the event can sway market perceptions.
Netflix MMA Special: Diaz vs Perry was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Perry led the market at 80% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Diaz at 20%.
Perry held the lead at 80% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Perry, Diaz at 20% were the next closest contenders. The 38.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Perry
80.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Nate Diaz wins the Diaz vs Perry professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Diaz vs Perry professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 16, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
