Live prediction market odds for Netflix MMA Special: Ngannou vs Lins. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-17
Ngannou leads the “Netflix MMA Special: Ngannou vs Lins” event at 89.5% implied probability, followed by Lins at 11.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Netflix MMA Special: Ngannou vs Lins is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ngannou leads at 90% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Lins at 11%.
Ngannou currently leads at 90% implied probability. Behind Ngannou, Lins at 11% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ngannou: 89¢ on Kalshi, 90¢ on Polymarket. Lins: 12¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 90¢ means the market estimates a 90% probability that Ngannou will be the outcome. Buying one share at 90¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 11% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Ngannou
89.5% avg
