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MarketsWhalesArbTrending
ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 23.5% // +$2350.00

Live prediction market odds for Siniakova vs Svitolina. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Elina Svitolina Wins: Siniakova vs Svitolina

Resolved 2026-03-18

This market resolved on 2026-03-18. Elina Svitolina was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 87%.

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Siniakova and Svitolina on March 18, 2026. This matchup is significant as both players aim to secure vital ranking points and momentum heading into the tournament's later stages.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Elina SvitolinaWINNER
99%76%
Katerina Siniakova
1%25%

Candidate Spotlight

About Elina Svitolina

Elina Svitolina is a professional tennis player representing Ukraine. She has achieved a career-high WTA singles ranking of world No. 3 and has won 17 WTA singles titles. Svitolina is currently competing in the 2026 season, having returned to the Top 10 in February 2026 after a successful start to the year.

Prediction Market Track Record

2026 Women’s Australian Open WinnerLOSTPre-event: 2%Indian Wells Women's Singles WinnerLOSTPre-event: 0%Elina Svitolina vs. Eva LysLOSTPre-event: 0%

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the implications of the Siniakova vs Svitolina match?

The outcome can affect both players' rankings and seedings in future tournaments. Winning could provide a crucial confidence boost as they progress in the season.

How do player performances influence the odds?

Recent match performances, head-to-head records, and physical condition can significantly sway market odds. Analysts closely monitor these factors leading up to the match.

What factors are considered in prediction markets for this match?

Prediction markets evaluate player form, historical performance, and external conditions like court surface. These elements contribute to the fluctuating odds as the match date approaches.

What was "Siniakova vs Svitolina" and why did it matter?

Siniakova vs Svitolina was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elina Svitolina led the market at 87% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Katerina Siniakova at 13%.

What moved the odds on "Siniakova vs Svitolina"?

Elina Svitolina held the lead at 87% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Elina Svitolina, Katerina Siniakova at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 23.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
ESPNFox SportsThe Wall Street Journal
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread23.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Elina Svitolina

87.3% avg

Market Rulebook: Siniakova vs Svitolina

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Katerina Siniakova wins the Siniakova vs Svitolina professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Indian Wells Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Siniakova vs Svitolina professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Indian Wells Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
ESPNFox SportsThe Wall Street Journal

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

2026 Women’s Australian Open Winner

Resolved

2026-01-31

LOSTElina Svitolina
Pre-event: 2%

Indian Wells Women's Singles Winner

Resolved

2026-03-15

LOSTElina Svitolina
Pre-event: 0%

Elina Svitolina vs. Eva Lys

Resolved

2026-04-15

LOSTElina Svitolina
Pre-event: 0%

Elina Svitolina vs. Linda Noskova

Resolved

2026-04-17

LOSTElina Svitolina
Pre-event: 0%

Karolina Muchova vs. Elina Svitolina

Resolved

2026-04-18

LOSTElina Svitolina
Pre-event: 0%

Katerina Siniakova vs. Magdalena Frech

Resolved

2026-04-22

LOSTKaterina Siniakova
Pre-event: 42%

Katerina Siniakova vs. Elvina Kalieva

Resolved

2026-04-22

LOSTKaterina Siniakova
Pre-event: 0%

Katerina Siniakova vs. Clara Tauson

Resolved

2026-04-24

LOSTKaterina Siniakova
Pre-event: 0%

Catherine McNally vs. Katerina Siniakova

Resolved

2026-04-26

LOSTKaterina Siniakova
Pre-event: 0%
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?
Elina Svitolina vs. Linda Noskova
LOSTPre-event: 0%
Karolina Muchova vs. Elina SvitolinaLOSTPre-event: 0%

About Katerina Siniakova

Katerina Siniaková is a Czech professional tennis player, currently ranked No. 3 in doubles as of February 6, 2026. She has won 34 doubles titles, including 10 Grand Slam titles and an Olympic gold medal in both doubles and mixed doubles. Her extensive doubles experience and recent performances make her a strong contender in this match.

Prediction Market Track Record

Katerina Siniakova vs. Magdalena FrechLOSTPre-event: 42%Katerina Siniakova vs. Elvina KalievaLOSTPre-event: 0%Katerina Siniakova vs. Clara TausonLOSTPre-event: 0%Catherine McNally vs. Katerina SiniakovaLOSTPre-event: 0%
No price history available