About This Market
SharePolymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the race for the 2028 US Presidential Democratic Nominee. This contest is pivotal as it will determine the party's candidate in a crucial election, influenced by voter sentiment, party dynamics, and key endorsements leading up to the primaries.
Gavin Newsom leads the “2028 US Presidential Democratic Nominee” event at 26.6% implied probability. Other contenders include Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (9.5%), Jon Ossoff (8.0%), Kamala Harris (7.0%), and Josh Shapiro (5.5%). A 7.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
