About This Market
SharePolymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the race for the 2028 US Presidential Democratic Nominee. This contest is pivotal as it will determine the party's candidate in a crucial election, influenced by voter sentiment, party dynamics, and key endorsements leading up to the primaries.
Stephen A. Smith leads the “2028 US Presidential Democratic Nominee” event at 33.6% implied probability. Other contenders include Gavin Newsom (40.3%), Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (10.6%), Jon Ossoff (37.0%), and Kamala Harris (9.3%). A 99.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
