Live prediction market odds for 2028 US Presidential Democratic Nominee. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
2028-08-01
Market Summary
In the latest prediction market odds for 2028 US Presidential Democratic Nominee, Gavin Newsom leads with an average implied probability of 26.3%. Top contenders trailing the frontrunner include Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (9.9%), Kamala Harris (6.7%), Jon Ossoff (5.5%), Josh Shapiro (6.0%), and Pete Buttigieg (4.5%). Traders monitoring this market will find an active arbitrage window with a 4.8% spread across platforms.
Market Narrative // Why the odds are moving
A new poll in New Hampshire ranks Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the top three potential 2028 Democratic presidential contenders, signaling their strong viability and positively influencing the odds that the market resolves YES..
Sources: Fox News
Resolution
This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Gavin Newsom
26.3% avg
